European bison recovery in shared landscapes: Anticipating conflicts before they escalate.

© Rafal Kowalczyk

Where can European bison thrive - and where could conflicts grow?

We combined spatial conflict indicators with an individual-based population model to map where conflict hotspots with agriculture, forestry and traffic may emerge as European bison recover across Central Europe – and where low-conflict “coldspots” remain that could support restoration.

Our results can help target coexistence measures before conflicts escalate. They also show an important trade-off: regulating bison numbers to reduce conflict could strongly limit population recovery and range expansion.

See the full paper here: Bluhm, H., Kowalczyk, R., Klich, D., Olech, W., Perzanowski, K., Retez, G., Skorupski, J., Zurell, D., Tracz, M., Tracz, M., Baryło, R., Wołoszyn-Gałęza, A., Januszczak, M. and Kuemmerle, T. (2026), Using individual-based modelling to anticipate future conflict potential for expanding European bison populations. Journal of Applied Ecology 2026;63:e70481.